sharing in governance of extractive industries

Tanzania struggles to align gas policies with market signals

Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen and myself have a new paper out in the Journal of Eastern African Studies

In recent years, much attention has been paid to how ‘new oil’-producer countries can avoid the resource curse that has marred the established petroleum economies on the African continent.

The focus has been on improving the governance of petroleum revenues. This however only tells one part of the story about the challenges a new oil country may face when extractive resources have been found. The adjustment of contracts that reflects changing international oil price environments is equally important.

We argue that for a new oil country it is a constant struggle to keep abreast of market signals. Changes to contractual and regulatory regimes tend to come rather late in the price cycle, both when high global oil prices allow for tougher fiscal terms and when falling prices call for downward adjustments. This is no less the case after the radicalisation of resource nationalism in Tanzania that largely coincided with the fall in global oil prices around 2014 onwards.

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